Mar 8, 2009

No surprises in Monterrey

Li vs. Radwanska turned out to be somewhat of an exciting encounter, even if Li ended up whitewashing the arrogant Pole 60 in the third set. Zheng also beat the other Radwanska, and BZS continued her great form from Acapulco with a run to the quarterfinals (beating Top20 Pennetta in the process); but more on her later.

For now, I'll comment on a player I had not seen in quite some time that I got to watch against Bartoli this week - Magalena Rybarikova of Slovakia.

"Magda", as she is affectionately called, started out the match beautifully with a flurry of good serves and powerful forehand approaches to the net. She looked like an extremely confident player who was capable of upsetting Bartoli. That didn't last long, however. Here's a breakdown of her game:

Serve - can't decide. She can hit some great first serves and it has the potential to be a great set-up shot for her, but wasn't very good against Bartoli. She hit a lot of bad second serves which is a tough thing to do against a player like Bartoli who goes nuts on easy serves. She has the necessary knee-bend to create power, but she tended to slow down her racquet speed when the game got tight. She had nothing to lose so she really should have gone for her first serve a bit more instead of just spinning it in. A lot of room for improvement on this shot, but it is already fairly decent.

Forehand - good for claycourts. At the start of the match she was crushing forehand and really dominating the rallies with that shot. But as the match wore on, her forehand became very loopy and short. I suppose she got tight, but her forehand went from very impressive to kind of a pusher-shot. I think her forehand will be great on claycourts since she is capable of mixing it up. With more experience she will know when to be agressive and when to use all of that spin.

Backhand - non-existent. Her backhand drives were some of the worst I have seen since Schnyder's last match. No pace, no depth, no angle, just a blunt shot up the middle of the court. Her slice was completely useless. There was no bite to it and she never used it to approach the net. Her technique was terrible, but she has good hands so she was able to keep it in the court. She desperately needs to work on this s
ide before she thinks about moving up farther in the rankings.

Volleys/transition game - very good. Not much to say on volleys except that hers were very, very good. She could potentially make a great doubles player with her serve and nice feel around the net. She kept her racquet out in front and used her wrists to get under the ball nicely.

Verdict - promising. She is famous for making the Junior Wimbledon final in...'05, I believe. Though she got stomped by Bartoli 64 60, I sensed a lot of talent and room for improvement. If she is willing to put in the hou
rs, she can get her ranking up in the Top20 and maybe have a deep run at a Slam.

I'll get a Davis Cup and Monterrey round-up going sometime this week.

$25K Fort Walton Beach sees an unexpected final between Gabriela Paz and Ekaterina Dzehalevich. Dzehalevich is the player who upset both of my personal interests in this tournament, Evgeniya Rodina and Stefanie Voegele.

Mar 2, 2009

Week of Mar 02, 2009

Looking forward: WTA Monterrey and ITF $25,000 Fort Walton Beach

Monterrey:

(1)Agnieszka Radawnska (POL) vs. Na Li (CHN)
Jarmila Groth (SVK) vs. Petra Cetkovska (CZE)
(wc)Melissa Torres Sandoval (MEX) vs. Lucie Safarova (CZE)
(8)Maria Kirilenko (RUS) vs. Marina Erakovic (NZL)

(3)Flavia Pennetta (ITA) vs. Jill Craybas (USA)
Anna-Lena Groenefeld (GER) vs. Barbora Zahlavova Strycova (CZE)
Roberta Vinci (ITA) vs. Q/LL
(6)Iveta Benesova (CZE) vs. Shahar Peer (ISR)

(7)Gisela Dulko (ARG) vs. Nathalie Dechy (FRA)
Mariya Koryttseva UKR) vs. Q/LL
Melinda Czink (HUN) vs. Alla Kudryavtseva (RUS)
(4)Jie Zheng (CHN) vs. (wc)Urszula Radwanska (POL)

(5)Agnes Szavay (HUN) vs. Pauline Parmentier (FRA)
Klara Zakopalova (CZE) vs. Q/LL
(wc)Magdalena Rybarikova (SVK) vs. Edina Gallovits (ROU)
(2)Marion Bartoli (FRA) vs. Q/LL


Seems to be a fairly balanced draw. A couple of potentially interesting R1 matchups, namely Radwanska-Li and Radwanska-Zheng. The elder Radwanska has been ill the past couple of weeks and played far from her best but she should be healthy by now. Still, Li is one of the most dangerous players in the world and always seems to do well against higher-ranked opponents. Urszula Radwanska is one of the rising stars of the WTA Tour, with a ranking just outside the Top100. She actually beat her sister in Dubai a couple of weeks ago but is a very inconsistent player. Zheng has a very solid baseline game, so I expect her to come through that one comfortably.

One player to watch out for in this draw is Lucie Safarova. She has been handed a very kind draw and has played very well on hardcourts this year. She has had trouble maintaining her focus in matches against Azarenka (Brisbane) and Bartoli (Australian Open) that would have significantly changed her year thus far.

Prediction:
(2)Marion Bartoli (FRA) d. Lucie Safarova (CZE)




$25K Fort Walton Beach:

(1)Patricia Mayr (AUT) vs. Q/LL

Q/LL vs. Q/LL
Tatiana Poutchek (BLR) vs. Q/LL
(6)Aiko Nakamura (JPN) vs. Q/LL

(4)Varvara Lepchenko (USA) vs. Q/LL
Tomoko Yonemura (JPN) vs. Q/LL
Georgie Stoop (GBR) vs. (wc)Lauren Embree (USA)
(7)Jessica Moore (AUS) vs. Q/LL

(5)Evgeniya Rodina (RUS) vs. Jorgelina Cravero (ARG)
Anastasia Pivovarova (RUS) vs. Chin-Wei Chan (TPE)
Ekaterina Ivanova (RUS) vs. (wc)Alina Jerjomina (LAT)
(3)Stefanie Voegele (SUI) vs. Ekaterina Dzehalevich (BLR)

(8)Ekaterina Bychkova (RUS) vs. (wc)Madison Keys (USA)
(wc)Beatrice Capra (USA) vs. Q/LL
Elena Bovina (RUS) vs. Q/LL
(2)Anastasia Rodionova (RUS) vs. Alexandra Panova (RUS)


Lots of players I like in this event. Stefanie Voegele would be my ideal winner, I really believe she will be a Top50 player one day. However $25K queen Patricia Mayr, dangerous Russians Zhenya Rodina and Nastya Pivovarova will make it very tough for her to do so. $25K's are usually filled with young players, but not many can be so young as wild card Madison Keys who is just 14 years of age. She trains at the Evert academy and has won some big international junior titles in her young career. I can't see her getting past Bychkova but we will definitely be seeing a lot more of her in the future.

Prediction:
(1)Patricia Mayr (AUT) d. (5)Evgeniya Rodina (RUS)

Mar 1, 2009

Venus wins Acapulco


Her road to the title:

(1)Venus Williams (USA) d. Nuria Llagostera Vives (ESP) 64 46 62
(1)Venus Williams (USA) d. (Q)Greta Arn (HUN) 63 67(3) 64
(1)Venus Williams (USA) d. (LL)Agnes Szavay (HUN) 62 57 61
(1)Venus Williams (USA) d. Barbora Zahlavova Strycova (CZE) 60 63
(1)Venus Williams (USA) d. (2)Flavia Pennetta (ITA) 61 62

A couple of notable names in there, although Szavay can hardly be seen as a threat these days. As is typical with Venus, she seemed to pick it up as the tournament went on. I watched her matches against Zahlavova Strycova and Pennetta and she just appeared to be playing hardcourt tennis on dirt - by no means a bad thing, since it's probably the only way she will ever win anything on clay. She is never going to grind it out against someone like Pennetta
or Llagostera Vives on a claycourt, she is going to have to take the ball on and pound it down the line. Pennetta seemed to have no answers to her backhand down the line and no one, really, has an answer to that monstrous serve. Second title in as many weeks for Venus as she continues her great form from last season. If only not for that pesky Suarez Navarro...

Honorable mention of this tournament goes to Zahlavova Strycova, who had one of the best weeks of her career. Zahlavova Strycova (BSZ from now on) was a junior standout in her day but has struggled since to make the transition to the professional level. She got herself back into the Top100 last year after about a four-year period of trudging through ITF tournaments. She turns just 23 this month, so perhaps she will gain some confidence and fulfill her early potential? I will usually tend to write little bits about players I have just watched for the first time and this is one of those instances. BSZ had an atypical game for a Czech, she seemed to be more of a baseline grinder rather than an all-or-nothing ballbasher (Vaidisova, Kvitova, Safarova) but her problem was depth. The majority of her shots landed on or around the service line which will not get it done at any level, much less against one of the premier players in the world. She seemed to be able to change direction well enough but just didn't have enough pace or depth to really hurt Venus besides making her run side-to-side a little bit. Basically she was the usual grinder that found themselves up a creek without a paddle against a big hitter.

In the picture above, she seems to have a bit of A-T-T-I-T-U-D-E and it certainly showed during her play. She constantly berated herself between points, and gave off a bit of a psychotic impression, honestly. I had heard stories about a match she played against Sveta Kuznetsova at Wimbledon last year but never investigated for myself. Her serve seemed slightly above what her ranking would suggest, but Venus stands so close inside the baseline that she made it seem faster than it truly is, probably.

Final Verdict: B-...she's ok. Not Top50 level but solid enough to stick around in the Top70 or Top80 in the world. I think she will be ranked around #60 on Monday, but don't expect her to rise much higher.

In other news, Mardy Fish somehow won a title. He pushed the entire time in the final, thus not deserving more than the three sentences I am giving him here. Too bad for Korolev, he actually deserved it.

Feb 28, 2009

No sh*t, Djokovic wins a title in '09


Being a Noletard, it has been extremely frustrating for me to watch my player struggle with numerous, numerous errors and lazy footwork so far in '09. There wasn't a single match I could say he played well in before this week. I guess the good news is that he played quite poor and still won the title - I mean he lost a set to Jan Hernych and really should have lost to Simple Simon in the semifinal. Luckily he played alright and served beautifully in the final against Ferrer to salvage some dignity.

His strokes seem a bit revamped from last season with longer takebacks, particularly on the forehand side. He is finishing the swing over his head, a "buggy-whip" forehand, a lot more than he has in the past; a product of catching the ball late. His movement seems alright, though he doesn't seem to hit as deep on the run as he has in the past. I seem to be talking a lot about how he is doing something differently from the past, which could be taken one of two ways. Either he is losing confidence and regressing or he is trying new things in his game that will take a while to produce results. I tend to think it is the former but hopefully it's the latter.

It was another shameful week for Gasquet fans, as he completely pussied out in the semis against Ferrer. The kid is never going to fulfill that enormous talent until he mans up and actually tries when the match is tight. I would leave if I were his coach, some of his performances are just ridiculous.

I guess I should list my favorites here so you can get an idea of who I will be pleased with when they win:

Djokovic, Korolev, Youzhny, Berdych, Cilic, Dimitrov, Bohli, Crivoi, Ignatik, Chardy, and most of the Eastern European guys. Davai Korolev in Delray Beach. ;)

On the women's side, I have far too many to list. The short list
contains the main girls, but there are many more on the junior and ITF tours. You can see why it's 60-40. I don't follow Challengers and Juniors for the guys are extensively as I do for the women, and I have no clue why. I guess I get a kick out of following young attractive girls through the rankings while I actually have to like their tennis to be a fan of the men.

Welcome welcome welcome

I could sit here and type endless bullshit about how I'm so glad to have you reading my endless thoughts about tennis (probably 60-40 in favor of women's tennis, just for your knowledge) but I will just say that I am a very blunt person who calls it like he sees it. I believe I have seen everyone in the Top100 play and go to at least one professional tournament a year. If you want to read, that's great. I think I have some valuable insight that you won't read anywhere else (better than Wertheim and Cronin and those fools).

As you can tell, parentheses are kind of my thing.